So, I had bible study just as the storms fired off. Was antsy all evening. Had piles of hail at 87th and 435 by the time we broke.

Tornadic thunderstorms continue south of town. Reports of damage in Lynn and Anderson counties, including a house that was destroyed. There is a ton of support for tornadoes with these storms. I’ve been mentioning the wind sheer all day, and you’re seeing the results of that now. Also, baseball sized hail has been reported as well with very low freezing levels at this time of the year.

Main question outside of the two big supercells is additional development to the southwest. Hail and winds still possible, but the main threat continues to be flooding here in the metro. Tornadoes will become less of a threat with these storms. Copious reports of flooding already, as the ground is still frozen some distance down. It can only absorb so much water, especially considering it was relatively wet already. If you live in low lying areas susceptible to flooding, you will want to keep in touch with conditions and be ready to take action if you need to. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

Very cool to see Gary Lezak find the BWER on radar. There IS hope for him during severe weather. (Great forecaster, but would annoy me to no end during severe weather. Their new guy is awesome though).

No… it’s not some strange atmospheric medial condition… It IS what has happened this afternoon. Abundant sunshine has allowed the warm front to mix north much faster than it appeared this morning, and temps have already surged well into the 60s to near 70 degrees (69 in Olathe at 2pm). So, certainly one seriously blown forecast today.

On a side note: The moisture is REALLY surging in from the south, and there could be some serious thunderstorms across SE KS, SW MO, and AR tonight. Some strong tornadoes are certainly not out of the question. The storm chase juices are a-flowin’!

It looks as though we have developed a substantial convective cap that will further prevent thunderstorms from forming this afternoon. I expect thunderstorms to develop this evening as better upper-level wind support rolls into the area. The 15z RUC keeps the thunderstorms just southeast of the metro area, but I have a feeling that storms may extend up into eastern KS as the dryline and warm front ignite. There is still a ton of wind sheer, as evidenced by the linear rolls we saw in the clouds this morning. Severe weather is still a possibility, but it’s a much slighter chance than across southern and central MO overnight.

No… it’s not some strange atmospheric medial condition… It IS what has happened this afternoon. Abundant sunshine has allowed the warm front to mix north much faster than it appeared this morning, and temps have already surged well into the 60s to near 70 degrees (69 in Olathe at 2pm). So, certainly one seriously blown forecast today.

On a side note: The moisture is REALLY surging in from the south, and there could be some serious thunderstorms across SE KS, SW MO, and AR tonight. Some strong tornadoes are certainly not out of the question. The storm chase juices are a-flowin’!